The only predictable thing about Silvio Berlusconi is his unpredictability. Against all expectations, including mine, he has gained in the recent elections, taking several regions off the centre left.
Doing particularly well was the Northern League and this will have increased Mr Bossi's influence within the Government. In the past he has not been a comfortable bedfellow, bringing down Mr Berlusconi's first government.
The centre left are nowhere. They need a figurehead with more appeal than the veteran Mr Bersani.
Berlusconi now should have no worries. He has a couple of years to build and leave his legacy, which should be solvent government.